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Church Growth Modelling

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Model Construction

Institutional

Institutionalism leads to a reduction in recruitment.

Extended Institutional Model

Used for application to GB Methodist Church.
Growing population, delays in cause and effect, internal pressures for institutionalism.

Model Results

Growth followed by Decline and Extinction

Application to GB Methodists


Related Blog

Institutionalism and Church Decline

Sociological Church Growth Models - Results

A sociological model of church growth is one that incorporates one or more hypotheses from the sociology of religion, organisational theory, or other similar academic disciplines. Examples of such hypotheses are secularisation theory, institutional lifecycles, strictness and market driven ideas. They often involve soft variables for sociological concepts.

Sociological models contrast with the limited enthusiasm models, which are based on population modelling, epidemiology and sociophysics. They contrast with congregational models, which are more mechanical in construction and limited in scope. They contrast with limits-to-growth models, whose hypotheses are looser metaphors rather than laws. Sociological church growth models can thus give a dynamic comparison with their statistical and descriptive counterparts in the sociology of religion.

Sociological models are aimed at denominational, regional and national groupings of churches, or even religion as a whole.

The Models

Institutional Model
Application of the institutional lifecycle to church denomination growth and decline.
GB Methodists
Application of the institutional model to the rise and fall of GB Methodist Membership data.

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Church Growth Modelling