- Blog post: Where to Plant a Church. Uses three system dynamics models of church growth to help inform the best location to plant a church in the UK.
- Blog post: Rewriting History. What happens when a secular age, with an atheistic ideology, misunderstands past church growth.
- Added a section on Modelling to the web site. Including the model fidelity, theory and methodology as applied to the church growth models. Also added an initial selection of guides to SD software Stella and agent based software NetLogo.
- Blog post: Church Decline Caused by Lack of Conversions. An investigations using data from the Presbyterian Church of Wales to show how 20th century church decline is caused by a fall in conversion rate.
- Blog post: Closing Rural Churches. A response to a proposal by Giles Fraser that the resources released from closing rural churches could fund centres to regrow the church in the future.
- Blog post: Communicating the Gospel. How much does the gospel need to be understood to be communicated? Lessons from street preachers in Boston.
- Anglican Church Decline in the West. A report based on the two blogs written in July and August.
- The Bounded Resource Model. A metaphorical model of church growth to illustrate the limits to growth imposed by the church generating resources to facilitate growth.
- Blog post: Limits to Church Growth - Part 2. Explores the limit to church growth brought about by lack of enthusiasts - their inability to keep reproducing themselves.
- Revised website for Church Growth Modelling uploaded.
- Blog post: Institutionalism and Church Decline. A system dynamics model to illustrate the article by Gillan Scott: Church of England Mistakes Mission for the Management of Decline. Archbishop Cranmer Blog, 23/04/15.
- Blog post: The Nagaland revival of 1976-1982. An example of the Limited Enthusiasm principle.
- George Carey and Church Decline. Analysis of the advice Lord George Carey, former Archbishop of Canterbury, gave to churches. Highlighted due to its misreporting in the secular media as "Church on the brink of extinction". November 2013 blog.
- All six blogs on Welsh Outpouring as a PDF.
- Update on Welsh Outpouring 2013. Update after 5 months of the Outpouring and Wales for Christ conference.
- Liberal and Conservative Churches Part 1 Use of system dynamics to explore the impact of liberal theology on church decline based on quotes by Rick Warren of Saddleback Church and Russell D. Moore of the Southern Baptist Convention. Additional ideas from a medievalist blogger Magistra et Mater. September 2013 Blog.
- Are We in Revival - Wales 2013? A view of the Cwmbran Outpouring set in the context of 50 years of Charismatic Renewal and the nature of revival. June 2013 Blog.
- The construction of the Effective Believer's Model which extends the Limited Enthusiasm Model of Church Growth to include the soft variable Spiritual Life. Spiritual life is generated by the enthusiasts which in turn enhances their effectiveness in conversion. With results.
- The Spread of Humanism. Evaluating the way the spread of Humanism could be measured and modelled within the UK, in the light of the Girl Guides dropping "God" from their promise, June 2013. Blog.
- When the Presence of God Persists ... A first look at the Effective Enthusiasts Model of church growth. In this model the spiritual life of the church influences the effectiveness of the enthusiasts in their activity to convert people. In turn they influence the spiritual life of the church through prayer, seeking God's presence and other spiritual activities. This post investigates what happens when the presence of God persists and comes out of experiences in the current outpouring of the Spirit in Cwmbran, Wales, June 2013. Blog.
- Description and results from the migration model: an extension of the limited enthusiasm model.
- A description of the Membership model and its results added.
- More results from the Discipleship Model; Principles, Experiments. The construction of the model is re-organised.
- The slides from the June Church Growth Cafe are available. The Conversionist/Discipleship model is renamed to Discipleship model and details of the meetings updated.
- Added a Blog post, "Church Planting "
- Added a Blog post, "Mexican Wave"
- Started an ongoing programme of updating references in order to provide support for church growth models. Short summaries are given on papers to indicate the nature of that support. Started with sociology of religion references.
- Added a Blog post, "Revival with a Smile", on the New Mystics, a charismatic group that appear to be in the early stages of rapid growth.
- Added a Blog post on Mathematics and History, and its connection with church growth.
- Added a link to Effective Evangelisation, slides from a talk given at "Challenge to Change: exploring strategies for an effective Church in a post-Christian landscape", June 2009.
- Home page updated to give brief details of all models currently being developed.
- Article on the Alpha Course updated to include recent figures and an apologetic on comments made about the connection between Large Group Awareness Training and Church Growth Modelling.
- Tipping the Church into Growth. Article explaining the principles and results of the church growth models using the concept of tipping points. Aimed at pastors and other Christians with an interest in church growth but little knowledge of mathematics.
- Overhead slides with notes for talk: Church Growth via Enthusiasts, presented at OR46 "The Annual Conference of the Operational Research Society", York, 7-9 Sept 2004.
- To show that Church growth modelling is not just an academic work but is set in the context of the need for revival two web pages of resources used for those who wish to pray for revival: The Revival We Need, Reasons to Pray for Revival.
new page giving a summary of results. The most important results
of the other web pages and papers in a form that can be read
( and hopefully understood!) in ten minutes.
on long term growth (under Details
of results). Explains equilibrium, revival-growth threshold,
recurring growth and some application to churches in the the
new site is an extended version of the original Church
Growth Modelling site which is part of the research web pages
of the Division of Mathematics
and Statistics at the University
of Glamorgan. The original site no longer exists.
This new site will be more extensive than the academic one and
provide information to help churches and Christians apply the
results and to view the work in a spiritual and theological context.